Cardinals 2023 Draft: The 3-Year Results
By Walter Mitchell
The one silver lining, perhaps, of the 4-Year results of the Cardinals' 2022 NFL Draft class was that only one player from that year, TE Trey McBride had to endure the team's worst record of 19-49 during that dreadful span.
For the players taken in the Cardinals' 2023 NFL Draft, they have endured the NFL 's 3rd worst record of 15-36 over their three seasons --- but this time 8 of the 9 draftees are still on the roster heading into their pivotal "contract" years.
2023 NFL Draft: Final quick-snap grades for all 32 teams
Draft picks
- Ohio State OT Paris Johnson Jr. (No. 6 overall)
- LSU edge BJ Ojulari (No. 41)
- Syracuse CB Garrett Williams (No. 72)
- Stanford WR Michael Wilson (No. 94)
- UCLA OG Jon Gaines II (No. 122)
- Houston QB Clayton Tune (No. 139)
- Auburn LB Owen Pappoe (No. 168)
- Louisville CB Kei'Trel Clark (No. 180)
- West Virginia DT Dante Stills (No. 213)
Day 1 grade: A
Day 2 grade: A
Day 3 grade: A-
Analysis: Arizona moved down three spots in the first round, essentially netting a 2024 first-round pick and still picking the athletic, versatile Johnson to bolster the line. Ojulari, Williams and Wilson were quality picks at need spots, though the latter two will need to put some injury issues behind them. They also picked up selections with two wise trades on Day 2.
* Problems were, imo:
1. Passing on Will Aderson Jr. the #2 highest graded defensive player in the NFL in 2025 (1st Team All-Pro), two-time Pro Bowler and NFL DPOY in 2023.
2. As you allude to, drafting 3 players with injury histories on Day 2 (after passing on better players due to trades), two of whom (B.J. Ojulari, Garrett Williams) have unfortunately been injury prone thus far in the NFL.
3. The Day 2 trades might have looked wise at the time, but in retrospect, the Cardinals passed on too many players who were stronger, wiser picks than the players they selected. Cases in point: Brian Branch, Steve Avila, Byron Young.
The offensive line rebuild continued with the smooth-moving Gaines. The fifth-round run on quarterbacks included Tune, who might be a good backup for Kyler Murray. Getting Clark as a slot corner and Pappoe at linebacker were absolute steals.
* Problems were, imo:
1. Sadly, Jon Gaines II suffered a torn ACL ijn the pre-season as a rookie and has not been well utilized since.
2. Clayton Tune did serve as a backup to Kyler Murray in 2023 as was sent to the rabid dawg pound in Cleveland so that Kyler wouldn't have had to take that pounding. Clayton had to beat out Desmond Ridder (traded for the Cardinals 2nd round pick in 2021, WR Rondale Moore, RIP) in 2024 but was leapfrogged by Jacoby Brissett in 2025 and subsequently cut.
3. Kei'Trel Clark and Owen Pappoe have been underutilized by the coaches thus far. Hopefully they can get a fair chance to prove their value to the team this season.
2025 Holdovers PFF Grades: Best and Worst Categories
- T Paris Johnson Jr. ---76.6 ---12 starts --- 77.1 PBLK; 72.9 RBLK
- OLB BJ Ojulari --- 49.0 --- 0 starts --- 59.1 RDEF; 41.6 COV
- CB Garrett Williams --- 62.5 --- 10 starts --- 64.2 COV; 29.1 TACK
- WR Michael Wilson --- 76.4 --- 17 starts --- 76.4 PASS: 51.2 RBLK
- OG Jon Gaines II --- 60.2 --- 5 starts --- 66.6 RBLK; 53.0 PBLK
- LB Owen Pappoe --- 64.1 --- 0 starts --- 82.8 TACK; 54.6 RDEF
- CB Kei'Trel Clark --- 56.1 --- 1 start --- 63.9 RDEF; 39.1 TACK
- DT Dante Stills --- 44.9 ---- 3 starts ---55.4 PRSH; 27.5 TACK
Draft picks
- TCU OG Steve Avila (No. 36 overall) --- 13 starts
- Tennessee edge Byron Young (No. 77) --- 17 starts
- Wake Forest DT Kobie Turner (No. 89) ---- 17 starts
- Georgia QB Stetson Bennett (No. 128) --- 0 starts
- Appalachian State LB Nick Hampton (No. 161) --- 12 games
- Georgia OT Warren McClendon Jr. (No. 174) ---- 10 starts
- BYU WR Puka Nacua (No. 177) --- 15 starts
- TCU CB Tre'Vius Hodges-Tomlinson (No. 182) --- cut
- Nebraska edge Ochaun Mathis (No. 189) --- cut
- Mississippi RB Zach Evans (No. 215) --- retired
- Wingate P Ethan Evans (No. 223) --- 17 starts
- Oklahoma State S Jason Taylor II (No. 234) --- UFL
- Toledo DT Desjuan Johnson (No. 259) --- cut
Players with 10+ starts--- Position Rankings
* G Steve Avila --- #9 G --- 76.8
* DE Byron Young --- #10 ED --- 83.9
* DT Kobie Turner --- #6 DT --- 83.1
* T Warren McClendon Jr. --- #7 T --- 83.5
* WR Puka Nacua --- #1 WR --- 96.3
* P Ethan Evans --- #23 P
2025 Combined Starts Regular Season: 89
Pro Bowls: Puka Nacua, Byron Young
Position Comparisons:
QB Rams still have Stetson Bennett; the Cardinals cut Clayton Tune
WR Rams Puka Nacua, taken 83 picks after Michael Wilson, is #1 WR in the NFL and 1st team All-Pro, but credit Wilson for cracking the Top 20 WRs in yards in 2025.
G Steve Avila, taken 86 picks ahead of Jon Gaines II has developed into a top 10 NFL guard
T Rams Warren McClendon Jr., taken 171 picks after Paris Johnson Jr. graded as a top10 tackle in 2025, while Johnson graded as #19.
ED Byron Young, taken 36 picks after B.J. Ojulari, is top 10 edge and a Pro Bowler. Ojulari, due to injuries and depth chart decisions has yet to start an NFL game.
DT Kobie Turner, taken 124 picks ahead of Dante Stills, is a Pro Bowl caliber player.
Conclusions:
The Rams' crushing of their 2023 NFL Draft without having the luxury of a top 3 pick in the 1st (or any 1st rounder at all) is a classic example of how a struggling franchise with a rookie GM and HC gets further set back by one of its most heated rivals.
The Cardinals 2023 off-season and draft were dictated by Kyler Murray.
In order to accommodate Kyler's excessive contract, Monti Ossenfort decided to: (a) pare the roster down; (b) go into a full bore rebuild; (c) pass on re-signing future Pro Bowlers DT Zach Allen and CB Byron Murphy; (d) cater the 1st round to Kyler's wishes.
Monti wanted fans to believe that the roster he inherited was void of talent and was poorly assembled by Steve Keim.
Fact is --- here is a defense that Monti could have built through creative contracts and stronger draft picks:
SOLB: Will Anderson Jr.
SDE: Kobie Turner
NT: Roy Lopez/Leki Fotu
WDE: Zach Allen
WOLB: Dennis Gardeck
SILB: Zaven Collins
WILB: Isaiah Simmons
LCB: Byron Murphy
SS: Jalen Thompson
FS: Budda Baker
RCB: Garrett Williams
That 2023 team could have started the season 3-0 had Monti assembled a far more competitive defense and had he made a stronger interim QB decision. After a 3-0 start, it's possible that the team could have capitalized on its early momentum.
As it was with a stripped-down defense, the Cardinals' first three games were:
@ WAS 20-16 L
H-NYG 31-28 L
H-DAL 28-16 W
Fact is --- offensive tackle was not the Cardinals' #1 need in the 2023 draft, given that Josh Jones, the Cardinals 3rd round pick in 2020 was coming off an excellent season when he started the last 9 games at LT.
2022 LT Josh Jones:
Overall: 75.8
Pass Blocking: 75.9 (4 sacks, 4 QB hits, 19 QB hurries, 27 QB Pressures)
Run Blocking: 74.0
2022 RT Kelvin Beachum (only OL to start all 17 games) --- 70.6
2022 LT D.J. Humphries (8 starts) --- 72.3
So, Kyler wanted D.J. Humphries to be his LT and, especially after Kelvin Beachum expressed the opinion of the locker room that Kyler needed to become a stronger leader, Kyler urged Monti to draft Paris Johnson Jr., the best LT in the draft class, to be his RT.
2023 RT Paris Johnson Jr.
Overall: 60.1
Pass Blocking: 64.2 (8 sacks, 5 QB hits, 26 QB hurries, 42 QB Pressures)
Run Blocking: 55.1
2023 LT D.J. Humphries
Overall: 62.7
Pass Blocking: 67.7 (4 sacks, 5 QB hits, 19 QB hurries, 28 QB pressures)
Run Blocking: 56.5
Was Paris Johnson Jr. in 2025 significantly better than Josh Jones in 2022?
2025 LT Paris Johnson Jr. (#19 T)
Overall: 76.5
Pass Blocking: 77.1 (5 sacks, 8 QB hits, 21 QB hurries, 34 QB pressures)
Run Blocking: 71.9
2022 LT Josh Jones: (#17 T with over 600 snaps)
Overall: 75.8
Pass Blocking: 75.9 (4 sacks, 4 QB hits, 19 QB hurries, 27 QB Pressures)
Run Blocking: 74.0
But Josh Jones hasn't emerged as a starting LT since the Cardinals traded him to the Texans in 2023.
The main reason is that he has been the backup to three of the top LTs in the NFL:
2023: Laremy Tunsil - HOU
2024: Ronnie Stanley - BAL
2025: Charles Cross - SEA
Josh Jones' 3 Starts in 2025
Shrewd signings by GMs of playoff teams in each case.
2025 LT Josh Jones SEA: started last three games for Charles Cross in wins over the Rams, Panthers and 49ers, Weeks 16,17,18)
Overall: 74.3
Pass Blocking: 70.3
Run Blocking: 71.9
2026 Contract with Seahawks: $4M deal with $3M guaranteed.
Outlooks for 2023 Cardinals' Draft Class in 2026
1. Parris Johnson Jr. has said he wants an extension that pays him $40M a year. Given that he has not yet graded in the top 10 at his position, let alone the top 5, and that he has landed on the season-ending IR in both his seasons at LT, missing 3 games in 2024 and 5 games in 2025 with knee injuries, the Cardinals would be wise not to hand out another "too much too soon" contract extension. Parris Johnson Jr. is a good leader and a very talented player who has yet to dominate at his position the way a #6 draft pick is expected to. Hopefully for his sake and the team's, Parris will have his most dominant and healthiest season this year.
2. B.J. Ojulari, now healthy and keenly focused, has a chance to emerge as the Cardinals' 2nd most productive edge rusher. That would be huge for him and a boon for the Cardinals. His highest sack total in a season came in 2021, his second of three seasons at LSU, when he delivered on 7 sacks and 11 TFLs. Coaches appear to be relying on him.
3. Garrett Williams is apparently recovering ahead of schedule from his Achilles injury. He is as adept in zone coverages as they come, but he struggles in man-to-man. Last season, like many of his teammates, he was a liability as a tackler (29.1). He is going to need to show vast improvements in man coverage and tackling in order to remain a starter.
4. Michael Wilson hopes to build on his stellar production in 2025, which could largely depend on Jacoby Brissett continuing to be the team's starter at QB. M-Willy is poised to take on the Puka Nacua role in Mike LaFleur's offense. If he succeeds, his market value for a contract extension should continue to ascend.
5. Jon Gaines II has the physical tools to be a very good starting NFL guard or center. His 9.95 RAS score is the highest among all of the Cardinals' offensive linemen. Parris Johnson Jr. did not participate in enough categories to qualify for one. Chase Bisontis is closest at 9.85, followed by Hjalte Froholdt's 9.08, while Isaac Seumalo in 2016 scored a 7.80 and Isaiah Adams in 2024 scored a 7.54. One would think that Jon has a bit of an advantage having played at UCLA when Justin Frye was his OL coach. Yet, will JGII have a chance to win the RG job? Or, will he be pigeonholed as the C/G swing player on game days?
6. Owen Pappoe is the most physically gifted ILB on the roster. His RAS score of 9.24 puts him among the most athletic players in the NFL at his WILB position. Two of his 2025 grades pop out. For a 2025 defense that exhibited major struggles in tackling and pass coverage, OP had the 2nd highest tackling grade on the defense at 82.8 and by far the highest coverage grade among all the linebackers at 70.3. The problem to date has been Nick Rallis' reluctance to play him, even when Akeem Davis-Gaither's tackling and coverage grades throughout his 17 starts were 55.9 and 36.5. Just as Nick Rallis kept running out the same "caution and cushion" defense for 17 straight weeks, he kept running out the same struggling starters. Is there an NFL defensive coordinator more adverse to making changes?
6. Kei'Trel Clark is another talented player who has consistently been put on the back burner by Nick Rallis. The epitome of how Rallis has treated KTC was in 2023 after giving him rare start --- KTC's grades versus the Rams that day were the highest on the defense ---> 81.5 tackling (9 tackles/ 7 solo, 0 missed) and 78.5 in coverage versus Matthew Stafford (2 receptions on 4 targets for 5 yards and a 56.3 QBR) and yet after another solid game versus the Steelers, Rallis elected to bench him for the last 5 games of the season. However, Kei'Trel Clark emerged as one of the team's best special team's players in 2025, grading an impressive 73.1 while being one of the leaders in tackles with 10 (8 solo while only missing 1. KTC is a baller who plays with a chip on his shoulder. Hopefully, Zac Etheridge, his new CB coach from The U will embrace him.
7. Dante Stills' strength is as a pass rusher. In three seasons, he has 8 career sacks and 55 QB pressures. Last year, however, was his least productive, where he posted only 13 QB pressures and 0 sacks. This year Dante needs to get back to his forte as a nifty, quick, pass rusher. It also would help Dante's cause to improve his run defense under the leadership of Pete Kwiatkowski, his new ultra-aggressive new DL coach, Texas Longhorn's DC the last 5 years.
Biggest Question
If the 2026 Arizona Cardinals are going to be highly competitive this season, then Monti Ossenfort's inaugural draft class needs to step up, big-time. The question is --- will they come into this season pissed off and tired of losing? Or --- will they remain accustomed to what Brett Kollmann has been describing all along as the "longest, slow-burn rebuild imaginable"?
The "injury Prone" Draft class - Most of this draft were players who were injury prone in college (Ojulari, Williams, Wilson, etc.) and most have been prone to injury in NFL as well. We all knew the draft class was risky in that regard. Has it worked? I don't know, when you look at Ojulari & Williams (2nd & 3rd round picks) they haven't seen more than 50% of snaps since they arrived. I sincerely believe some of the injuries the Cardinals have faced come down to 2 aspect (a) Our league worst training facilities (as graded by players) and/or (b) coaches using the IR list as a way to park guys they couldn't coach-up to be ready for NFL level play.
ReplyDeleteThis was Monti's 1st draft - they cut or traded players the same year (e.g. Jones, Simmons) to make room for this draft class.
The Murray setback...
PJJ taken instead of Edge (W Anderson)
Wilson taken to provide another WR outlet for Murray. Never mind Wilson never shined with Murray passing. That took JAG Brissett.
Tune was drafted so Kyler wouldn't have any pressure at his QB1 role
MO had two objective - Fix Murray, and Fix the Defense to match to Defensive (HC) focused on building what new HC needed to give him assets to wrk with since it was deemed our defense was the issue.
Result...
Defense got worse under Gannon regime
Kyler Murray got worse during Gannon regime.
Team set record mark for most losses in a season in 2025.
Time to Rinse, Repeat, and watch the Bidwill Clown show.
***RANT***
I thought it funny McBrides comments about the AZ crowd not being loyal (like its the fans fault)...My thoughts were...
I am sorry but we as fans have a right to ask for a competent team. There are so many of us who purchased season tickets to watch and root for our Home Team "The Cardinals". Only to be fleeced by the ownership with a bad product and escalating prices. This has almost always been the case since Cardinals moved to AZ. Loyalty works both ways - I will never spend another dime on Cardinals football until we replace ownership. And yes, it is annoying going to watch your home team Cardinals only to be over-run by Raiders, 49'rs, Seahawks, Rams, Patriots, Packers, Cowboys, etc...fans. The team has to win to silence those 'visiting' fans. The team also failed to silence the crowd. SO in fans defense "we're not being paid but paying to watch a clown-show" which at end of day is neither entertaining nor any better than watching at home where we can turn off the bleeping game when it gets to be a joke. Since The Phoenix/AZ Cardinals arrived in 1988 they haven't been in playoffs but a handful of times (At which times the fans showed up and rivaled any NFL venue). So if you wish to blame the 12th man for your whoas, it your prerogative. However, we fans only have one way to show our displeasure at watching a clown show, that is to withhold the dollar. It is unfortunate that McBride has only seen the regular season (every season a losing record, not one season above .500).
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DeleteChanging the culture of this team is what I have hoped for since this team stepped off the plane and into the desert in 1988. Patrick Mahomes has played in more playoff games than the Cardinals have in their 105-year history, and the same family has owned this team the past 94 years. Does anyone remember the comic strip called "Grin and Bear It" It was my favorite as a kid and reminds me of being a fan of this team.
ReplyDeleteSo the question is: Will this team fight for wins or by mid-season, will the majority of players just start going through the motions saving their bodies for a lengthy career and many paychecks or a second chance on a contender.
Answer: I predict it will be business as usual for the players. A few like Conner and McBride will give 100% every game but as the losses start piling up, most players will fall back into the grove of viewing this team as a paycheck to support their families while they're here.
It would take a BIG personality to change the culture of this team. Warner did it the last two seasons of his career. Bruce Arians did it his first few seasons in AZ. Arians came to AZ reeking of arrogant confidence with a resume to back it up and players followed him like they followed William Wallace in Braveheart. Warner was a talented leader of men who didn't look at the circumstances around him but instead, he focused on what he believed he could do. This team does not have a KW or BA type leader.
@Redrun - I saw this video on what McBride said, and I agree with this guy's response.
https://www.youtube.com/shorts/-bk51gIBgo8
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DeleteThx Jethro...
Video is saying same thing I am - Albeit a little nicer :)
Agreed. It's like you said, there are fans it's just that we're all jaded. I was a gung-ho fan in 1988, a surprised as shit happy fan in late 2008 early 2009 and a happy fan from 2013-2015. There have not been too many happy game days following this team (Since relocating to Arizona in 1988, the Cardinals have a regular-season record of 245-366-2) or about a 40% win percentage. I think Bidwill has really embraced the fans who buy tickets to see their teams play the Cardinals so losing doesn't bother him that much. For him it's all about the bottom line owning a can't lose money cow NFL franchise.
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DeleteYes, BA came in and had to teach the players how to win. Kliff taught the team especially how to win on the road (franchise record 8 road wins in 2021). Can Mike LaFleur do something similar?
ReplyDeleteUmm,,,errr,,,ugh,,,I don't know Walt. I hope I am wrong but changing the culture would be a huge undertaking and Mike LaFleur seems a little to green and Opie Taylor-ish to me. I personally believe that it's going to take another HC with the personality and resume of BA to achieve success in AZ and MB is going to have to give him the freedom to do so.
DeleteThat said.....
It's a new dawn
It's a new day
It's a new HC
For me
And I'm feeling like.....its going to be an interesting season
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DeleteBeen in the Valley 33 years, over 20 of them a season ticket holder which now looking back at it was young, foolish and embarrassing. I remember local blackouts for tv, those days are long gone as the industry has changed. The tickets sold are just gravy for the owners now, as more lucrative streams prevail-opposing fans taking over the stadium would embarrass most owners but not this one as he is immune to it since 1988. The Billionaire club can even make the worst owner in pro sports look nice and shiny when we all know he is a 💩 It hasn’t been about the fans, winning or putting a good product on the field for years..
ReplyDeleteto the Bidwills, fans and players are the enemy that need to be managed and held arms length thru bull shit, downright lies, ever changing coaching scapegoats and a paid for media.
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