Rob, when the Cardinals signed Jacoby Brissett in 2025, I thought it was a mistake to give him a 2-year deal with $12M in guaranteed money. I thought he may have been washed up. It would have made much better sense back in 2023 while Kyler was out for 9 games, especially given the fair amount of success Jacoby had with Drew Petzing as his QB coach in CLE.
What I saw from Jacoby Brissett last season completely altered my view of him and his possible career path. I think the best QBs in the league are the toughest (Allen, Mahomes, Stafford, Jackson, etc.) and the best Cardinals' QBs I have ever seen were the toughest and grittiest from Charlie Johnson to Jim Hart to Neil Lomax to Kurt Warner to Carson Palmer.
After watching Jacoby Brissett play with such extraordinary courage and determination through having to pick himself up from 110 QB hits and 43 sacks, I don't think I have ever seen a Cardinals' QB display this kind of toughness for a team with a lame duck head coach that had little to nothing to play for during the second half of the season.
But it wasn't just Jacoby's courage and resiliency that captured my imagination ---> it was how well timed, strong and accurate he was driving the football. And he was ripping frozen ropes as well in his 12th start as he was in his 1st.
What's unprecedented too is that Jacoby is starting his 15th game this week and the Cardinals still have yet to be favored in any of his 14 starts due to the sheer quality of their opponents and consistent ineptitude of the team's defense. The fact that fans actually attribute the Cardinals' 2-12 record in part to Jacoby is so unjust given what he's been up against and the quality of the defenses he's been facing.
The thing is --- in 10 of Jacoby's starts, he's played commendably, especially given the adverse circumstances and the high quality of the opponents.
IND - 320 yds, 2 TDs, 89.2 RTG, 26 PR, 9 hits, 2 sacks
GB - 279 yds, 2 TDs, 110.8 RTG, 28 PR, 8 hits, 6 sacks
DAL - 261 yds, 2 TDs, 115.1 RTG, 28 PR, 9 hits, 5 sacks
SF - 452 yds, 2 TDs, 96.8 RTG, 13 PR, 4 hits, 0 sacks
JAX - 317 yds, 1 TD, 92.0 RTG, 45 PR, 8 hits, 6 sacks
TB - 301 yds., 2 TDs, 100.1 RTG, 27 PR, 4 hits, 2 sacks
HOU -249 yds., 3 TDs, 98.9 RTG, 17 PR, 2 hits, 2 sacks
CIN - 212 yds., 2 TDs, 91.3 RTG, 20 PR, 4 hits, 4 sacks
LAR -243 yds., 2 TDs, 101.9 RTG, 34 PR, 6 hits, 6 sacks
LAC - 277 yds., 1 TD, 103.1 RTG, 12 PR, 6 hits, 2 sacks
Over the course of those 10 games, Jacoby Brissett absorbed 238 QB pressures, 62 QB hits and 34 sacks. And he still hung in there and played his hardest. In the one game where he wasn't sacked, he set an NFL completion record versus a Robert Saleh coached defense. Imagine if...
The SEA game this past Sunday was an anomaly due obviously to their suffocating defense (ask Drake Maye), as Jacoby is trying to adapt to a new system that stresses getting the ball out as quickly as possible.
But very predictably, his dissenters are cutting him zero slack and are already calling for Carson Beck.
Jacoby said it very well, "after a heavy rainstorm, we shouldn't let it destroy the foundation."
That foundation is documented above.
Inside the Numbers:
ARI 27 LAC 14
Completions/Yards
McBride --- 27, 17, 10, 6, 14, 7, 5, 3 (TD), 7
Bourne --- 11, 10, 11, 13, 5
Wilson --- 9, 10, 17, 6
Allgeier --- 5, 4
Love --- 5, 4
Harrison Jr. --- 33
Average Yards Per Catch: 10.3
3rd Downs Not Converted
3rd & 4 --- Deep left Wilson INC --- FG
3rd & 3 --- short right McBride INC --- FG
3rd & 11 --- short middle McBride INC --- FG
3rd & 15 --- short right McBride COMP (5 yards) --- PUNT
3rd & 5 --- short middle Bourne COMP (4 yards_ --- PUNT
3rd and 2 --- SACK --- PUNT
3rd & 5 --- Allgeier 3-yard run --- PUNT
Note: 6 of the Cardinals' 7 3rd downs not converted were highly manageable ones of 5 yards or less.
SEA 31 ARI 7
Completions/Yards
McBride --- 9, 6, 9, 3 (TD), 5, 4, 1, 8
Love --- 7, 0, 9
Allgeier --- 5, 4
Wilson --- 9, 9
Bourne --- 8, 3
Average Yards Per Catch: 5.7
3rd Downs Not Converted
3rd & 1 --- Allgeier run for -1 yards --- PUNT
3rd & 5 --- SACK --- PUNT
3rd & Goal from 9 yard line --- Brissett 6-yard run
(4th & Goal from 3-yard line --- McBride 3-yard TD)
3rd &4 --- short left to Bourne INC --- PUNT
3rd & 2 --- short right to McBride INC --- PUNT
3rd & 4 --- short middle to Wilson INC --- PUNT
3rd & 7 --- deep left to Wilson INTERCEPTION (Julian Love)
3rd $ 5 --- short middle to Wilson INC --- PUNT
3rd & 2 --- SACK --- PUNT
Note: look at all of the manageable distances
2026 Jacoby Brissett's 3rd down conversion percentage (2 games): 35%
2025 Jcoby Brissett's 3rd down conversion percentage: (12 games); 44%*
* Note. Jacoby's average distance on 3rd downs in 2025 was the 4th longest and yet his 3rd down conversion percentage was 8th best.
The biggest difference thus far: throwing beyond the sticks very consistently in 2025.
Quick Throw Philosophy
In order for NFL QBs to run a preponderance of quick throws, they need WRs who can separate quickly. Problem is --- they don't have WRs who can separate quickly. But they have WRs who can separate better at the top of their routes. And in Jacoby Brissett, as he proved in 2025, the Cardinals have a QB who can hang tough in the pocket to deliver top of the route dimes.
Conclusion:
The Dink and Dunk offense is not ideal for the Cardinals' personnel.
This is what Jacoby Brissett meant when he said the biggest area to improve is the team's playcalling.
Jacoby Brisett vs. SEA 2025: Average yards per completion: 11.7
Jacoby Brissett vs. SEA 2026: Average yards per completion: 5.7
Jacoby Brisett vs. SEA 2025: 258 yards passing, 2 TDs, 0 ints, 22 points
Jacoby Brisett vs. SEA 2026: 95 yards passing, 1 TD, 1 int., 7 points
Thus far, Jacoby Brissett appears to be a stronger systematic fit in Drew Petzing's offense than Mike LaFleur's.
In both Jacoby's and Mike LaFleur's defense, it's not their fault that the Cardinals' front office prevented the QB1 and new HC from having all of OTAs to mesh.
The question is --- will Jacoby Brissett and Mike LaFleur adapt and evolve the system to fit the team's strengths?
Red Rain Question:
What are you seeing and thinking?
Walter, your numbers make the case: 12 pressures vs. LAC, 15 vs. SEA. Those look fine only because the ball is out in two seconds. Maybe the quick game is covering for a line that struggled against Seattle, when Brissett took 7 hits. If MLF trusted the protection long enough to throw past the sticks, he'd call it. He isn't calling it for a reason
ReplyDeleteWhen Green Bay hired Jonathan Gannon, I said he'd cost Matt LaFleur his job. Three weeks in, the Packers are 1-2. They blew a huge fourth-quarter lead to Minnesota, then gave up 27 straight points and 498 yards to Atlanta at Lambeau, where Bijan ran for 194, 163 after contact-nobody could tackle. Sound familiar? We lived it for three years: 15-36, scoring defenses ranked 31st, fired after nine straight losses. LaFleur hired him anyway, and now Lambeau is booing and calling for his head.
Love!
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